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The key tactical battle will be Villarreal’s ability to break down Alavés’ compact defense. Quick ball movement, overlapping runs, and accurate crossing will be essential. If Villarreal score early, the match could open up, increasing the likelihood of covering the handicap. Conversely, if Alavés hold firm and force Villarreal into slow, predictable attacks, the game may remain close throughout.
In conclusion, the HDP analysis leans slightly in favor of Villarreal -0.5, based on home advantage and superior technical quality. However, Alavés +0.75 remains a strong alternative for those expecting a tight, low-scoring encounter. Overall, this fixture is likely to be decided by fine margins rather than overwhelming dominance.
Further Reading
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SuperVip Won 12/20Villarreal VS Alaves I've been in hot form recently, hitting 5 out of 8 predictions. In the 19th round of the La Liga, as the season reaches its halfway point, Villarreal has secured the 3rd position this season. They've achieved 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 20 goals and conceding 6. At home, they've had 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 20 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last game, they defeated Elche 3 - 1 away. After a three - game losing streak, Villarreal managed to beat the well - performing newly - promoted Elche on the road despite being short - handed. Now playing at home, they have strong support and are worth looking forward to. I'm a professional advisor with 12 years of experience, and there are daily surprises. Recommendation: Home win, Villarreal -1, scores 2:0/2:1/3:0 Alavés is ranked 14th in the league this season, with a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 21. Away from home, they have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses, scoAH
SPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
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Sam Luk Won 6/6Villarreal VS Alaves Villarreal CF ended 2025 with three consecutive defeats in all competitions. They achieved a classic victory in their first match of 2026, as they defeated the strong Elche 3-1 away with only a 20% possession rate. In this match, several players are still unavailable, including Navarro, who was injured in the previous game, and Gui and Ahormak, who are participating in the Africa Cup of Nations. Alavés has lost 5 out of their last 6 league matches, so their form is not good. However, it's worth noting that they have maintained good performance against Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Atlético Madrid this season, showing strong abilities in tough games. Due to the avoidance clause and injuries, they are short of some key players and hope to score from set - pieces. Villarreal has been extremely consistent in the league. They've given up on the Copa del Rey and the Champions League, treating the season as if it only has 38 league games. Their bench strength is also exceAHSPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
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Analysis VIP99 Won 14/15Todays La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alavés (Saturday, January 10, 2026) sees the "Yellow Submarine" looking to solidify their Top 4 position at the Estadio de la Cerámica. _________________________________________________________________AHSPA D1
Villarreal
3-1 Alaves
SPA D1